Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 5.297841 6.035317 6.847989 7.811546 8.924888 10.173302 11.682622
2025-05-11 4.180282 5.107480 6.209694 7.622230 9.392523 11.548329 14.388521
2025-05-18 3.528352 4.536058 5.802260 7.521069 9.810282 12.777709 16.953594
2025-05-25 3.073731 4.116947 5.487885 7.438374 10.169573 13.898575 19.444931
2025-06-01 2.710824 3.759144 5.190314 7.310103 10.409460 14.836525 21.748973
2025-06-08 2.411171 3.446676 4.908423 7.151823 10.560358 15.629737 23.899721
2025-06-15 2.288991 3.368902 4.943274 7.444252 11.389250 17.493869 27.894000
2025-06-22 2.128939 3.215657 4.846131 7.517498 11.876043 18.867575 31.259844
2025-06-29 1.962341 3.034375 4.685279 7.467385 12.149309 19.912575 34.187436
2025-07-06 1.808892 2.858306 4.513801 7.377629 12.338400 20.823801 36.977021
2025-07-13 1.738571 2.808134 4.537239 7.609391 13.091074 22.772759 41.877859
2025-07-20 1.661445 2.739051 4.521504 7.768901 13.727542 24.576169 46.730715
2025-07-27 1.608222 2.707217 4.568079 8.046765 14.616435 26.959866 53.084016
2025-08-03 1.481709 2.538459 4.363462 7.850360 14.598989 27.624239 56.051182
2025-08-10 1.382219 2.409005 4.216852 7.745799 14.742960 28.612339 59.821247
2025-08-17 1.295101 2.294650 4.087533 7.660397 14.912468 29.664204 63.865534
2025-08-24 1.209592 2.176528 3.941468 7.527945 14.970853 30.488083 67.506111
2025-08-31 1.127737 2.059036 3.787208 7.364519 14.946604 31.129854 70.808599
2025-09-07 1.109881 2.061077 3.860423 7.666465 15.935380 34.079929 80.033385
2025-09-14 1.066298 2.010085 3.826119 7.742099 16.439993 36.005702 87.028627
2025-09-21 1.011841 1.933768 3.735639 7.690351 16.654956 37.289007 92.579728
2025-09-28 0.957194 1.853232 3.630611 7.597670 16.766616 38.339976 97.677530
2025-10-05 0.939551 1.846195 3.675253 7.836993 17.672982 41.409958 108.705137